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With its decision to hold the line on rates, the committee in its post-meeting statement noted a "lack of further progress" in getting inflation back down to its 2% target. The process has resulted in the central bank balance sheet to come down to about $7.4 trillion, or $1.5 trillion less than its peak around mid-2022. Under the new plan, the Fed will reduce the monthly cap on Treasurys to $25 billion from $60 billion. The reduction of the balance sheet roll-off, then, can be seen as a slight easing measure. The Fed uses interest rates to control the flow of money, with the intent that higher rates will dampen demand and thus help reduce prices.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, Federal Reserve, Fed, Market, Dow Jones Industrial, Treasury Locations: U.S
Recent commentary from policymakers and on Wall Street indicates there's not much else the committee can do at this point. But they're still hopeful that they will be in a position to cut rates later." Markets actually have held up pretty well since Powell made those comments on April 16, though stocks sold off Tuesday ahead of the meeting. Some on Wall Street, though, are still hopeful that inflation data will show progress and allow the central bank to cut. The Wall Street bank's economists are preparing for the possibility that the Fed could be on hold for longer, particularly if inflation continues to surprise to the upside.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Kent Nishimura, Guy LeBas, Janney Montgomery Scott, they're, Powell, We've, there's, specter, LeBas, There's, Goldman Sachs, David Mericle, , Donald Trump, Goldman, Mericle Organizations: Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs Committee, Getty, Federal Reserve, Federal, Market Committee, Fed, Dow Jones, Department, Labor Department, Republican
Ukraine’s DeepState monitoring group, which updates daily changes in frontline positions, shows Russian forces pushing forward in eight different locations along 20-25 kms of frontline in one 24-hour period. Military bloggers on both sides broadly agree that Russian forces have crossed a water course and taken control of the settlements of Semenivka and Berdychi. Heavy fighting continues there, but the situation is under the control of the (Ukrainian) Armed Forces,” he said. Russian forces are also making headway west of Donetsk city, entering the industrial town of Krasnohorivka from the south and the east. “Without (its) manpower advantage, Russia’s artillery and airpower advantage would not be sufficient for Russia to make gains on the battlefield.
Persons: Vladimir Putin’s, Myroshnykov, Stringer, ” DeepState, Muscovites, , Nazar Voloshyn, , DeepState, , Voloshyn, Narciso Contreras, Anatolii Stepanov, Rob Lee, ” Lee Organizations: CNN, Anadolu, Getty, ) Defense Forces, Armed Forces, , Foreign Policy Research Institute Locations: Ukraine, Kharkiv, United States, Avdiivka, Ocheretyne, Donetsk, Semenivka, Soloviove, Keramik, Ukrainian, Karlivka, DeepState, Russian, Kyslivka, Krasnohorivka, , AFP, Moscow, – greenlit, “ Russian, Russia
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailBofA's Savita Subramanian: More to the S&P 500 than just semiconductors and megacap tech companiesSavita Subramanian, BofA Securities head of U.S. equity and quantitative strategy, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.
Persons: Subramanian Organizations: BofA Securities
Landing a tech job on Wall Street has never been simple, but it's even less so today. But widespread layoffs in the tech sector have created a "glut of supply" of "mediocre talent," recruiters told Business Insider. That's not stopping Wall Street firms from tapping external recruiters to find technologists. Given the private nature of their work, recruiters usually keep their client list and searches close to the vest. For that reason, the specific clients most of these recruiters work with are not named.
Persons: we've, Ben Hodzic, Selby Jennings, Wall
CNN —The Biden administration is preparing a new aid package for Ukraine that is expected to be worth around $1 billion, multiple sources familiar with the matter told CNN, and is set to be approved by President Joe Biden after the Senate passes a new foreign aid funding bill as soon as Tuesday afternoon. In briefings to Congress in recent weeks, administration officials have indicated that the US will likely send Ukraine long-range ATACMS, or Army Tactical Missile Systems, for the first time as part of the new aid package, three of the sources said. Ukrainian officials have been asking the US both in private and in public for the long-range missile to target deeper behind Russian lines. Broadly, Russia has maintained a “significant quantitative advantage” over Ukraine in terms of munitions, manpower and equipment, a NATO official said earlier this month. The military aid will be sourced from the US’ own stockpiles through a funding mechanism known as presidential drawdown authority, or PDA, and will be the first PDA package for Ukraine since March.
Persons: CNN —, Biden, Joe Biden, Bill Burns, Chris Cavoli, Sen, Mark Warner, we’ve, ” Warner, Bradley, ” Celeste Wallander Organizations: CNN, Senate, Army Tactical Missile Systems, US, CIA, NATO, Senate Intelligence, CBS, Pentagon, White, Command Locations: Ukraine, Moscow, Europe, Russia
A City Tries to Measure the Violence It’s Preventing
  + stars: | 2024-04-22 | by ( Mark Obbie | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +31 min
Headway A City Tries to Measure the Violence It’s Preventing In Baton Rouge, a public safety experiment could help to answer a critical question: Do community efforts to reduce street violence work? Like Ms. Robinson, Ms. Tate-Alexander, 48, raised her family in Baton Rouge. Baton Rouge became the first city outside New Jersey to be tutored in the Newark method. Calming the urge to retaliateBy June 2021, when Ms. Tate-Alexander started assembling the street team, Ms. Robinson joined up. At first, Ms. Robinson and Ms. Tate-Alexander seemed wary when I asked about him.
Persons: Angel Hawkins, Liz Robinson, Sateria Tate, Alexander, Tamikka, Liz, Louis Robinson’s, Louis Jr, Robinson, , , ’ ”, Louis, Louis BadAzz, , Louis Robinson Jr, , Murphy Paul, Paul, Sharon Weston Broome, Alton Sterling, , Karan Deep Singh, Kathleen Flynn, Biden, Nina Revoyr, Ms, Tate, Aqeela Sherrills, Sherrills, Terrell, Mr, Aqeela, Courtney Scott, . Tate, ” Ms, Gerald Haynes, Haynes, hotheads, Khoury Brown, Geaux, he’s, Geaux Yella, Darius Crockett, Crockett, Kayla Atkins, Markel, Atkins, ” Mr, “ I’m, “ I’ll, ” Markel, Atkins’s, Gary Slutkin, Jeffrey A, Butts, John Jay, Dr, Scott, “ We’re, It’s, They’ll, that’s, interventionists, Stacy Adams fedora, George Floyd, Weeks, brutalized, Paul’s, Thomas S, Morse, Dy’Lan Fillmore, Mitchell, Fillmore, Robinson’s Organizations: The New York Times, Army, Louisiana State Police, Police, Baton Rouge Police Department, Centers for Disease Control, National Institute for Criminal, Ballmer Group, Baton, Bloods, Biden White House, Markel, Research, John, John Jay College of Criminal, Statistics, University of California, Newark, Metropolitan, Murphy Paul Rally, Mr Locations: Baton Rouge, La, Iraq, Afghanistan, Black, United States, , Federal, Newark, N.J, Watts, Los Angeles, New Jersey, Chicago, Baton
Amazon's packaging has been getting more efficient in recent years, thanks to AI. The e-commerce giant built an AI model that interprets pictures and text to choose the best shipping materials. The tool is key in helping the company cut out 2 million tons of plastic and cardboard since 2015. Sign up for our newsletter to get the latest on the culture & business of sustainability — delivered weekly to your inbox. Frequent Amazon shoppers have almost certainly received a shipment with a single small item in a comically large box.
Organizations: Service Locations: North America
If the 10-year bond rate goes up 2%, every asset on the planet, including real estate, is worth 20% less. Advertisement"If things stay where they are, we have the soft landing that seems to be embedded in the marketplace, the real estate will muddle through. They won't muddle through under higher rates with a recession. That would be tough for a lot of folks, not just real estate, if that happens." Jeenah Moon / Reuters"We're in a period that comes after financial repression, where we'll have some inflation and some real rates.
Persons: , Wall, shouldn't, Jamie Dimon, I'm, David Solomon, Goldman Sachs, Jane Fraser, Julian Restrepo, Larry Fink, Stephen Schwarzman, Ted Pick, Morgan Stanley, Jeenah, Michael Santomassimo, Wells, Alistair Borthwick, that's Organizations: Service, Wall Street's, Business, titans, JPMorgan, Citigroup, AP, BlackRock, Blackstone, Bank of America Locations: East, Ukraine
Hard-to-handicap geopolitical conflict never helps, even if it rarely serves as the key swing factor in a market trend. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500, 1-year And then there was simply the elevated valuation and over-optimistic sentiment that had built up over that five-month, 28% rally that culminated at the end of March. Over the long span of time, about 40% of all 5% market pullbacks deepened into full 10% corrections. A 10%-ish correction from the S & P 500 high of 5254 would pull the index down below 4800, the former record high from early 2022, and so would be a test of the first-quarter breakout. Last week's 3% decline took the index back to Feb 21 and thereby closed the "Nvidia gap," the 100-point S & P 500 pop the day after Nvidia's blowout fourth-quarter earnings report.
Persons: Warren Pies, Jerome Powell Organizations: Nasdaq, 3Fourteen, Nvidia, Big Tech, Treasury, Silicon Valley Bank Locations: Silicon
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailIndia is a beneficiary of some of China's problems, investment management firm saysArjun Jayaraman, head of quantitative research at Causeway Capital Management, says foreign direct investments into India are "a tailwind to the already strong structural tailwinds that India has."
Persons: Arjun Jayaraman Organizations: Causeway Capital Management Locations: India
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon issued a warning in the bank's earnings report Friday. With so much at stake, here's an earnings season cheat sheet of when some of the biggest companies are reporting and the storylines to follow. Themes to watch: AI could reduce the number of junior bank employees thanks to the tech automating their grunt work . Themes to watch: Netflix was dubbed the king of streaming earlier this year after a big earnings report. The bank's earnings report beat analysts' expectations, but advisory revenues were down 21% year-over-year.
Persons: , Donald Trump's, iStock, Rebecca Zisser, Jamie Dimon, Dimon, Michael M, Goldman Sachs, Blackstone, Will Meta, Bob Iger's, Brooks Kraft, Jeremy Barnum, it's, Jeff Currie, Justin Sullivan, Tesla, Elon Musk, Musk, Marco Bottigelli, Yevgen Romanenko, Tyler Le, Michelle Grisé, Dan DeFrancesco, Jordan Parker Erb, Hallam Bullock, George Glover, Grace Lett Organizations: Service, Business, JPMorgan . Tech, JPMorgan, New York Stock Exchange, Finance Key Companies, Bank of America, Companies, Meta, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, Amazon, Retail, Walmart, Costco, Netflix, Disney, Paramount Global, Boeing, Brooks Kraft LLC, Getty, BI, Healthcare, RAND, Boston Marathon Locations: Israel, Russia, United States, New York, London, Chicago
USDA's recommended monthly food budget for a family of four has risen 27% since 2020. AdvertisementOn average, across the four food plans, the monthly budget recommendation has risen 27% since the start of 2020. Meanwhile, as of November, grocery prices were up 25.1% since the start of 2020, outpacing the 18.9% increase in overall prices. USDA Food Plan recommended monthly budgets. Andy Kiersz/Business InsiderWith food prices still weighing down consumers, some are becoming more conscious of how much they're spending and where.
Persons: USDA's, Andy Kiersz Organizations: US Department of Agriculture, USDA, USDA Food Locations: Alaska, Hawai'i
This month's rout in smallcap stocks has erased the Russell 2000's sparkling first quarter gain, and the benchmark index for smaller shares could face further trouble ahead so long as interest rates are left unchanged. A hotter-than-expected March inflation report on Wednesday pushed investors on Wall Street to extend out expectations for the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut to September from June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool . The Fed's last interest rate increase in the current cycle was in July, 2023. Servicing debt Hall specifies that the risk to smallcaps is tied to the effect of higher interest rates on refinancing needs. "Higher for longer [interest rates have] generally been good for small cap stocks.
Persons: Russell, Smallcaps, They're, Jill Carey Hall, Hall, Steven DeSanctis, DeSanctis Organizations: Wall, Federal, Bank of America, Bank of, Jefferies Locations: U.S
New York CNN —JPMorgan Chase, the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, kicked off earnings season Friday with a beat, but also a warning. The bank’s first-quarter revenue increased by 8.5% from the year before, to $41.9 billion. However, looking ahead, we remain alert to a number of significant uncertain forces,” he wrote in a press release Friday. “First, the global landscape is unsettling — terrible wars and violence continue to cause suffering, and geopolitical tensions are growing. Second, there seems to be a large number of persistent inflationary pressures, which may likely continue.
Persons: FactSet, Jamie Dimon, , Organizations: New, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, FactSet Locations: New York
The banking giant grew revenue by 9% and net income by 6%. CEO Jamie Dimon, however, rang the alarm on geopolitical and economic challenges. AdvertisementJPMorgan reported first-quarter earnings on Friday that surpassed Wall Street's expectations, as CEO Jamie Dimon rang the alarm once again on a troublesome geopolitical and economic backdrop. America's biggest bank posted a 9% year-on-year rise in revenue to $41.9 billion, which helped to drive its net income up 6% to $13.4 billion. Dimon hailed JPMorgan's strong performance in the earnings release, but also issued a stark caution about the current global backdrop.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan, Service, CIB, CB, First Locations: CCB
JPMorgan Chase CEO and Chairman Jamie Dimon gestures as he speaks during the U.S. Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee oversight hearing on Wall Street firms, on Capitol Hill in Washington, U.S., December 6, 2023. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warned Friday that multiple challenges, primarily inflation and war, threaten an otherwise positive economic backdrop. "Many economic indicators continue to be favorable," the head of the the largest U.S. bank by assets said in announcing first-quarter earnings results. An "unsettling" global landscape including "terrible wars and violence" is one such factor introducing uncertainty both into JPMorgan's business and the broader economy, Dimon said. However, the bank warned net interest income for this year could be slightly below what Wall Street is expecting and shares were off nearly 2% in premarket trading.
Persons: Jamie, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan Chase, U.S . Senate Banking, Housing, Urban Affairs, Wall, Capitol, JPMorgan Locations: Washington , U.S, U.S
Switzerland's government said on Wednesday that UBS and three other systemically relevant banks must face tougher capital requirements to shield the country's wider economy, a year after the rescue of Credit Suisse. In 209 pages of recommendations on how to police banks deemed "too big to fail" (TBTF), the Swiss government pitched 22 measures for direct implementation. It stopped short of saying how far stricter capital requirements should go. The increase in requirements for UBS will be "substantial, especially if UBS were to retain its current size and structure, or even grow," it noted in an explanatory document. The Swiss government-backed takeover by UBS of Credit Suisse last year was the biggest merger of banks of systemic importance since the 2007-9 financial crisis.
Persons: Switzerland's Organizations: UBS, Credit Suisse, Swiss Locations: Manhattan , New York City, Switzerland, Swiss
Jamie Dimon sees America at a ‘Pivotal Moment’Jamie Dimon’s annual letter to JPMorgan Chase shareholders has just been published. The economy is resilient but the government underpinning it is a red flag. Consumers are spending and investors expect a soft landing. But Dimon warns that the economy is being fueled by government spending and rising deficits. “These markets seem to be pricing in at a 70% to 80% chance of a soft landing — modest growth along with declining inflation and interest rates,” Dimon writes, adding that the odds are actually a lot lower.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, Jamie Dimon’s, Dimon, , ” Dimon Organizations: JPMorgan Chase Locations: America, Ukraine
JPMorgan, the world’s largest bank by market capitalization, is exploring the potential of generative AI within its own ecosystem, said Dimon. “Over time,” wrote Dimon, “we anticipate that our use of AI has the potential to augment virtually every job, as well as impact our workforce composition. First Republic purchaseJPMorgan acquired most of First Republic’s assets last May after the San Francisco-based regional bank was seized by the government. Dimon wrote those odds are far too optimistic. “Small changes in interest rates today may have less impact on inflation in the future than many people believe,” he said.
Persons: Jamie Dimon, , Dimon, JPMorgan Chase, ” Dimon, Organizations: New, New York CNN, JPMorgan Chase, International Monetary Fund, Industries, Nvidia, Microsoft, JPMorgan, Software, San, First Republic, Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, Markets, Traders, Federal Reserve Locations: New York, Republic, San Francisco, Silicon
Determining the best predictors of stock-market returns is like seeking the Holy Grail for investors. They also allowed the algorithm to come up with its own ratios in an attempt to determine whether there are better indicators of stock-market performance. Examples of variables included sales, market value, and cost of goods. The data points were then scaled using ratios to correlate a company's sales revenue to other variables, such as its size. Robbins noted that traditionally, academics begin with a theory for why certain company fundamentals could be good predictors of stock market returns before testing them.
Persons: Alejandro Lopez, Lopez, Andrew Y . Chen, Tom Zimmermann, Michael Robbins, Lira, ChatGPT, Robbins, It's Organizations: Lira, University of Florida, University of Cologne, Institutional, Investors, New York Stock Exchange, American Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Lopez
The Ukrainian military is “experiencing shortages in air defense munitions, mostly in the medium to long range,” a NATO official said on Wednesday. Last fall, the administration asked Congress for more than $60 billion in additional funds to help support Ukraine, but more than 6 months later the funding has not passed amid opposition from Republican lawmakers. And the separate shortages of artillery ammunition could be “potentially catastrophic” for Ukraine in the short term, the official added. The NATO official said that as of now, Russia appears to lack the necessary maneuver units to mount such a large-scale, successful attack. That is why they believe it is critical for the west to continue to support Ukraine through this period of attrition.
Persons: “ It’s, Jens Stoltenberg, , Volodymyr Zelensky, Ukraine’s, Olha Stefanishyna, Stoltenberg, Donald Trump, ” Stoltenberg, Kylie Atwood Organizations: CNN, NATO, Patriots, Republican, ” Energy, , Pentagon, Ukraine Contact Defense, Ukraine Locations: Russia, Ukrainian, Ukraine, Kyiv, Brussels, Avdiivka, Russian, Belarus
Meme stocks, which gained popularity through social media platforms like Reddit and Twitter, have attracted retail investors looking to make a quick profit. In 2021, GameStop shares skyrocketed by more than 1,500% in just a few weeks, driven by a coordinated effort from retail investors on the Reddit forum r/WallStreetBets . This means that retail investors are often in a disadvantaged position when trading. Cashing in So, what can investors do to capitalize on the trading phenomenon without taking on the risks associated with meme stocks? Gooch-Peters suggests looking at the exchanges themselves, citing Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) as an example.
Persons: Hannah Gooch, Peters, Gooch, Gerry Fowler, Fowler Organizations: GameStop, Sanlam Investments, Twitter, UBS, Intercontinental Exchange, ICE, Quality, New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, CBOE
Gold smashes record again as U.S. inflation worries loom
  + stars: | 2024-04-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
Gold prices extended a record run on Wednesday as concerns of rising inflation boosted demand for gold as a hedge, with bullion traders shrugging off doubts over an imminent U.S. interest rate cut and rising Treasury yields. Gold prices extended a record run on Wednesday as concerns of rising inflation boosted demand for gold as a hedge, with bullion traders shrugging off doubts over an imminent U.S. interest rate cut and rising Treasury yields. Spot gold was up 0.3% at $2,286.24 per ounce, as of 0406 GMT, and hit a record high of $2,288.09 earlier in the session. Data this week showed U.S. manufacturing unexpectedly rebounded, with the rise in raw materials prices triggering fears that inflation could resurge. "With commodity prices rising in general, it brings the risks of another round of inflation - so perhaps investors are hedging for inflation," Simpson said.
Persons: Bullion, Matt Simpson, Simpson, Edward Meir said Organizations: Index, Federal Locations: U.S, Ukraine, Asia
Griffin noted that 2023 was a difficult year for the hedge fund industry and expected the medium-term to "remain challenging." Citadel and Griffin's market maker, Citadel Securities, received over 100,000 applications for full-time jobs and internships this year, Griffin said. "We take pride in having built one of the most formidable teams in hedge fund history," he said. The remarkable achievements of our portfolio managers are a testament to the constructive and empowering culture at Citadel. Assembling the Premier Team in Hedge Fund HistoryWe take pride in having built one of the most formidable teams in hedge fund history.
Persons: Griffin, Kenneth C Organizations: Business, Disney World, Citadel, Citadel Securities, Citadel Wellington LLC, Team, Congressional, U.S, LCH Investments Locations: United States
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